Comments on: Seventeen Trade Methods That I Don’t Really Understand

By: David

David — Wed, 03 Dec 2025 20:20:13 +0000

I was directed here from an email telling about a new successful Zorro grid system method. While I agree there’s a huge mass of untested junk, as Dylan said, “Don’t criticize what you can’t understand.” Or in this case, test for yourself. If bizarre is a qualification for dismissal, quantum mechanics is also a joke. So far Einstein is losing on that score.

By: Ed Love

Ed Love — Mon, 08 Sep 2025 03:21:37 +0000

Thanks for this, it’s hilarious! Even if I wasn’t interested in trading, I’d probably keep reading.

If you wanted a different challenge, write a comedy using these ideas. It could really fly.

Heck, write the novel and I’ll adapt it for film! Yes, I’m an amateur screenwriter.

Although that’s just one more prediction, and the film biz is also hopeless at those.

William Goldman, a two time Oscar winning screenwriter once said:

Nobody knows anything.

i.e. Hollywood always has a hard time figuring out how to make profitable films.

Anyway, please do keep writing, I love a good laugh!

By: jcl

jcl — Thu, 03 Sep 2020 09:46:56 +0000

There’s certainly no problem with supply-demand imbalances or volume deltas.

By: Jose Luis

Jose Luis — Wed, 02 Sep 2020 20:56:36 +0000

I do not agree, it seems that you have forgotten why the price moves, the price moves due to an imbalance between the supply and demand of an asset, and the volume delta tells you at all times whether the ask or bid is in control.

That supply and demand can be unreal or fictitious? Of course yes

Is there any data that is not altered or modified in the markets?

By: Ray

Ray — Wed, 19 Aug 2020 16:30:59 +0000

What about Tarot? I’ve seen that too.

By: Giuseppe Vonella

Giuseppe Vonella — Tue, 11 Sep 2018 22:45:06 +0000

Technical Analysis & Geometry wears who don’t know it.
Think outside your prejudice.

By: Tudor

Tudor — Sat, 23 Jun 2018 19:06:12 +0000

Great content, Sir! This is one of the few places where I found the truth about the trading business.

By: Anthony Garner

Anthony Garner — Tue, 26 Sep 2017 14:03:16 +0000

And indeed all the methods you review above are pure moonshine. Although moving average crossovers have been/ were/ are used by many for trend determination.

By: Anthony Garner

Anthony Garner — Tue, 26 Sep 2017 14:01:45 +0000

And as for machine learning no one has yet decided we live in a deterministic universe or whether time actually exists or not. And even if strict determinism rules chaos theory suggests successful prediction may still prove unattainable.

Which is why so many people sell something rather than trade. Or offer some sort of service: brokers commissions, the bid/offer spread, research…whatever

By: Anthony Garner

Anthony Garner — Tue, 26 Sep 2017 13:59:13 +0000

Good stuff and an excellent blog. Even long term stock index holding is fraught with difficulty however. Argentina, Germany and Russia looked excellent bets in 1900. Look what happened a few years later. After over 30 years in markets my conclusion is that unless you are “earning” (front running, arb, bid/offer spread or other) all forms of trading and investing require as much luck as skill.

The US equity markets have returned (?) 8 or 9% in non inflation adjusted returns for over 100 years but can you forecast the next 100? My own answer to that would be “no”. Long term therefore the only “investment” approach likely to “succeed” is wide diversification over global economies and markets. The only “trading” enterprise likely to succeed is one where you have a built in source of real earnings rather than relying on ephemeral and ever changing patterns.